[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":333},["ShallowReactive",2],{"project-10057285":3},{"id":4,"name":5,"line":5,"line_source":6,"title":7,"url":8,"domain":9,"maker":10,"posted_at":11,"year":12,"points":13,"comments":14,"rank_in_year":15,"shown_in_year":16,"top":17,"tier":18,"category":19,"subcategory":20,"format":21,"keywords":22,"reception":27,"sentiment":28,"stance_mix":29,"scored_comments":33,"aspects":34,"strip":43,"post_text":45,"what":46,"said":69,"maker_in_thread":147,"shape":156,"grid":159,"attempts":296,"same_week":297,"maker_shows":41,"maker_hidden":325,"reader_version":326,"card":327},"10057285","Guess which government programs work","title","Show HN: Guess which government programs work","https:\u002F\u002F80000hours.org\u002Farticles\u002Fcan-you-guess\u002F","80000hours.org","robertwiblin",1439501023,2015,184,53,98,2565,4,"notable","learning_science","quiz on social policy evidence","web_app",[23,24,25,26],"social programs","policy evaluation","randomized trials","government programs","mixed",-0.243,{"positive":17,"neutral":30,"mixed":31,"critical":32},15,2,11,32,{"idea":35,"design":37,"docs":39,"execution":40,"performance":42},{"positive":36,"critical":36},3,{"positive":38,"critical":31},0,{"positive":38,"critical":17},{"positive":38,"critical":41},1,{"positive":38,"critical":41},[38,44,38,38,41,36,38,38,38,36,38,41,36,38,36,36,41,41,44,36,38,41,38,38,36,38,38,41,38,36,36,38,41,41,41,36,36,36,41,36],5,null,{"problem":47,"audience":45,"pricing":45,"motivation":58,"time_to_build":45,"stack":66,"openness":67,"stage":68,"team_size":67},{"value":48,"source":49,"evidence":50},"People often misjudge whether social programs actually work","inferred",[51,54],{"id":52,"by":10,"text":53},"10057292","I'm one of the creators of the quiz! Note that the projects were not chosen based on their results, and certainly not because the results are counterintuitive. Rather they are…",{"id":55,"by":56,"text":57},"10058355","asgard1024","This is great! One of the interesting things about social sciences (and engineering, although just like computer hacking, social engineering has unfortunately strong negative…",{"value":59,"source":60,"evidence":61},"Show how often media publicity about social interventions differs from measured efficacy","commenter",[62],{"id":63,"by":64,"text":65},"10058901","alexandercrohde","I was thinking about why this website triggered my skeptic alarms and came up with a few things. 1. The web interface makes it hard to go back. The first thing I want to do when…",[],"unknown","beta",{"praise":70,"objections":83,"requests":111,"questions":130,"alternatives":139},[71],{"value":72,"source":60,"evidence":73},"Interesting and educational, reveals counterintuitive results",[74,75,79],{"id":55,"by":56,"text":57},{"id":76,"by":77,"text":78},"10057582","noir_lord","The Elderly care question said that there was no effect on 3 year mortality, which is fine and I'm sure that is accurate but it doesn't answer the question of \"Did it have a net…",{"id":80,"by":81,"text":82},"10059019","Freeboots","Interesting that the average user is less than 50%. I got two wrong and still felt like an idiot.",[84,91,103],{"value":85,"source":60,"evidence":86},"Hard to tell no effect and negative effect apart",[87],{"id":88,"by":89,"text":90},"10058792","iopq","It's really hard to tell \"negative effect\" and \"no effect\" apart, I got two of them switched. Besides, I would consider both of those failed programs, not even sure if there's a…",{"value":92,"source":60,"evidence":93},"Outcome measures or question wording are unclear or misleading",[94,98,102],{"id":95,"by":96,"text":97},"10058518","superuser2","Home visits for older adults is a little disingenuous. The purpose is not really to reduce death risk, but to increase quality of life. I don't think that counts as \"no effect\"…",{"id":99,"by":100,"text":101},"10059740","pluma","I find it a bit unintuitive that \"no change\" errors are valued the same as \"opposite\" errors (e.g. answering \"positive\" when the change was actually negative). I find it far less…",{"id":63,"by":64,"text":65},{"value":104,"source":60,"evidence":105},"Slow loading and poor web interface",[106,110],{"id":107,"by":108,"text":109},"10059745","mattmanser","While the content is great, the tech seems bloody awful. Why is it so slow to load? It takes 5-10 seconds to load on both my laptop and my desktop (both \u003C 1 year old) and I have…",{"id":63,"by":64,"text":65},[112,123],{"value":113,"source":60,"evidence":114},"Show a results summary after the quiz",[115,119],{"id":116,"by":117,"text":118},"10058272","jrnvs","It would be nice to see a summary of the projects and their effects after finishing the quiz. By that time, I had already forgotten about some and wondered what the answers were.",{"id":120,"by":121,"text":122},"10058422","ikeboy","Maybe you can link to that at the end of the quiz?",{"value":124,"source":60,"evidence":125},"Use a slider with error bars instead of three choices",[126],{"id":127,"by":128,"text":129},"10060298","maho","I enjoyed the quiz, but I am not a big fan of the positive_effect\u002Fno_effect\u002Fnegative_effect classification, because it hides the error of the measurement. Instead, I propose to…",[131],{"value":132,"source":60,"evidence":133},"Whether the 'no effect' versus 'negative' distinction is meaningful",[134,135],{"id":88,"by":89,"text":90},{"id":136,"by":137,"text":138},"10059129","Asbostos","If it helps, any time you choose \"No effect\", you're making a guess about how thorough the experiment was, not about the program itself. Every program will have some effect, but…",[140],{"value":141,"source":60,"evidence":142},"Ben Goldacre's government randomised policy trials paper",[143],{"id":144,"by":145,"text":146},"10059407","frabcus","Ben Goldacre (of Bad Science) wrote a paper with the UK Government on A\u002FB tests of policies.…",{"comments":36,"answered":38,"key":148},[149,150,153],{"id":52,"text":53},{"id":151,"text":152},"10058489","If you liked this you may well also like our quiz on how to have the most social impact with your career: https:\u002F\u002F80000hours.org\u002Fcareer-guide\u002Fcareer-recommender\u002F",{"id":154,"text":155},"10058277","Thanks for the feedback, I'll see if we can change that!",{"commenters":157,"max_depth":44,"maker_replies":36,"first_comment_mins":31,"lifespan_hours":158},35,29,[160,162,166,169,172,175,179,182,185,188,190,192,195,198,201,205,207,208,209,213,215,218,219,223,226,227,230,233,235,237,239,241,243,246,248,251,254,255,258,262,263,265,267,269,271,273,278,279,281,283,287,290,293],[52,38,38,161,10,41],"maker\u002Fneutral\u002Fnone",[163,38,44,164,165,38],"10057418","project\u002Fpositive\u002Fidea","NateLawson",[167,38,38,168,56,38],"10058380","other\u002Fneutral\u002Fnone",[170,38,38,168,171,38],"10058525","Retric",[173,38,38,174,56,38],"10058810","commenter\u002Fneutral\u002Fnone",[176,38,41,177,178,38],"10058387","project\u002Fcritical\u002Fidea","nulltype",[180,38,36,181,137,38],"10058640","project\u002Fneutral\u002Fdesign",[183,38,38,168,184,38],"10058659","jhundal",[186,38,38,168,187,38],"10058698","tomjen3",[189,38,38,174,184,38],"10058816",[191,38,38,174,145,38],"10059402",[193,38,44,164,194,38],"10058686","susiecambria",[196,38,41,177,197,38],"10059405","michaelt",[199,38,38,174,200,38],"10060707","JamesBarney",[202,38,41,203,204,38],"10057454","project\u002Fcritical\u002Fdocs","dang",[206,38,38,174,187,38],"10058684",[120,38,36,181,121,38],[151,38,38,161,10,41],[210,38,36,211,212,38],"10059946","project\u002Fneutral\u002Fnone","bko",[127,38,36,214,128,38],"project\u002Fmixed\u002Fdesign",[216,38,36,181,217,38],"10060989","BenjaminTodd",[63,41,41,203,64,38],[220,41,41,221,222,38],"10060442","project\u002Fcritical\u002Fdesign","yuncun",[224,41,44,225,217,38],"10060998","maker\u002Fpositive\u002Fnone",[55,31,44,164,56,38],[228,31,36,181,229,38],"10058467","davidgrenier",[231,31,38,168,232,38],"10059330","toyg",[234,31,41,177,187,38],"10058694",[236,31,38,174,56,38],"10058772",[238,31,38,174,187,38],"10060810",[240,31,38,174,56,38],"10061346",[76,36,36,242,77,38],"project\u002Fmixed\u002Fexecution",[244,17,36,245,204,38],"10057463","project\u002Fneutral\u002Fidea",[247,17,38,168,217,38],"10058402",[249,17,38,168,250,38],"10058434","dclowd9901",[252,17,38,168,253,38],"10058492","vacri",[95,44,41,203,96,38],[256,44,38,174,257,38],"10058565","Thriptic",[259,260,36,211,261,38],"10058459",6,"ridgeguy",[136,260,36,245,137,38],[116,264,36,181,117,38],7,[154,264,38,266,10,41],"maker\u002Fneutral\u002Fdocs",[99,268,41,203,100,38],8,[270,268,36,161,217,38],"10061059",[88,272,41,221,89,38],9,[274,275,41,276,277,38],"10064128",10,"project\u002Fcritical\u002Fexecution","blakeweb",[144,32,36,245,145,38],[80,280,36,211,81,38],12,[282,280,38,174,137,38],"10059121",[284,285,36,211,286,38],"10058676",13,"eli_gottlieb",[107,288,41,289,108,38],14,"project\u002Fcritical\u002Fperformance",[291,288,36,292,217,38],"10061046","maker\u002Fneutral\u002Fperformance",[294,30,36,211,295,38],"10058957","crdoconnor",[],[298,303,308,312,317,321],{"id":299,"name":300,"points":301,"category":302},"10080731","Tonic",342,"dev_tools",{"id":304,"name":305,"points":306,"category":307},"10073389","RivalSeek",189,"web_saas",{"id":309,"name":310,"points":311,"category":302},"10089307","Git-remote-dropbox",174,{"id":313,"name":314,"points":315,"category":316},"10060074","Myra",137,"ai",{"id":318,"name":319,"points":320,"category":19},"10057032","Perseids meteor shower from space",136,{"id":322,"name":323,"points":324,"category":19},"10060417","Algebra.js",132,false,"v2",{"id":328,"name":5,"line":5,"ai":325,"cat":19,"year":12,"points":13,"comments":14,"rec":27,"s":329,"top":17,"kw":330,"maker":10,"domain":9,"tier":18,"attempts":38,"strip":331,"url":8,"mix":332,"praise":72,"objection":85,"sub":20},10057285,-0.24,[23,24,25,26],"0500130003013033115301003001033011133313",[17,30,31,32],1794036534455]