Tinder Revenue Estimate
Finance and crypto
business model estimation
SHOW HN2018
How HN took it
9 positive, 23 neutral or asking, 2 mixed, 7 critical, out of 41 comments about the project. Thread score +0.06.
Idea: 6 for, 0 againstExecution: 0 for, 3 againstDesign: 0 for, 2 againstPricing: 1 for, 1 againstDocs: 0 for, 1 against
The thread, comment by comment
Each row is a top-level comment and its replies, in HN's order. Select a cell to open that comment on HN.
positive neutral or mixed critical about another commenter or something else the maker
What HN said
What people liked
Interesting idea for decomposing business models
From 3 comments
This is an interesting way of decomposing a business model in general, not just documenting existing companies. I could see something like this chipping away at the Excel models…
philipodonnell on HNThis interface generalizes nicely to estimating any Fermi problem, not just business models. I love it!
telekid on HNThis is really interesting. Thank you!
nerdponx on HN
Objections
Revenue estimate seems too low, especially given subscriber pricing
From 3 comments
I think this number is a massive underestimate of their annual top-line. Based on the cost of a subscription I'd bet it's in the $1B+ range.
cal5k on HNAgreed. Having worked at a dating app that had a significantly smaller user base, the revenue numbers are definitely low balled.
BlackjackCF on HNThe subscription price varies substantially according to age and region. I also suspect that they make a lot of money from "whales", i.e. people with the most expensive…
cal5k on HN
Design and readability need improvement
From 3 comments
I love the idea here, but I don't find the report very easy to read.
PaulHoule on HNI like the site's intended purpose, but I agree with others that design needs improvement. Also, perhaps you can source some data from public data (i.e annual report, appannie).
redgetan on HNin my mind that looks something like a spreadsheet but more structured, say like the old https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TK_Solver There is a large precedent of people writing…
PaulHoule on HN
Sources and confidence of numbers not clearly shown
From 2 comments
Cool! I think evidence-backed modeling is a really interesting idea. As an unsolicited suggestion, I wonder if there's a way to emphasize numbers that are backed by evidence…
Glench on HNYeah, but none of that information is surfaced in the high-level report. If I'm reading this I'd like to have an idea of each number's validity.
Glench on HN
Requests
Crowdsourced or collaborative data updates
From 2 comments
Really cool idea. It would be awesome if you could crowdsource the data for any companies through employees - some big companies don't have much transparency on revenue numbers,…
primitivesuave on HNYes I've done that manually. In my head I would love for it to be something even more collaborative 'Wikipedia-style' and people would help keep the numbers up to date. Of course…
ebellity on HN
Show ranges and confidence for estimates
From 2 comments
Suggestion: be able to specify ranges for variable estimates, and give ranges for the answers to calculations.
lifeformed on HNDefinitely something I'm thinking about. Maybe even some kind of "confidence interval" of confidence ratio could be added next to an estimate.
ebellity on HN
Shorter number formats like $36.2M
From 2 comments
Feedback: consider ditching the .00 on the numbers and spelling out "million"/"billion." It's a lot easier to quickly read "$36.2 million" than "$36,200,000.00"
mi100hael on HNOr better yet, $36.2M
atticusberg on HN
Email updates and timeline for financials
From 1 comment
I really like what you're doing here. Two things that I would like as a user: -ability to get updates (pref email) when new companies are added or companies I follow are updated…
vm on HN
Questions
How is data kept up to date
From 1 comment
Cool stuff. I've noticed that some times you source numbers from news articles, which you reference. How do you plan to keep the numbers updated? EDIT: In fact, how have you done…
fwdpropaganda on HN
Where the models come from
From 1 comment
Where are you getting these models?
hemantv on HN
Alternatives named
Excel financial models
From 1 comment
This is an interesting way of decomposing a business model in general, not just documenting existing companies. I could see something like this chipping away at the Excel models…
philipodonnell on HN
AppAnnie
From 2 comments
I like the site's intended purpose, but I agree with others that design needs improvement. Also, perhaps you can source some data from public data (i.e annual report, appannie).
redgetan on HNI did an internship for a mobile games studio. They had really detailed estimates of competitor revenues because they were able to combine: 1) their own daily revenue from titles…
oli5679 on HN
Nomad List
From 1 comment
You should allow requests to add or alter data, mostly like nomadlist.com do (example [1]). The owner could discuss and accept or reject the request. I think it would enrich the…
gupir on HN